Matteo Arnaldi vs Lucas Gerch Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs L. Gerch

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

2

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

Height

6'4" (193 cm)

C. Rank

570

Best Rank

278

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

Plays

Left-Handed

Lucas Gerch

GER

2

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

Height

6'4" (193 cm)

C. Rank

570

Best Rank

278

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

Plays

Left-Handed

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 2 - 0 Gerch

They have played 4 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 4 and Lucas Gerch winning 0. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lucas Gerch was at the M25 Portimao, 27-10-2021, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 7-6(3) 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi	2
Gerch	0

Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R1) M25 Portimao(10-27-21)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Lucas Gerch

(R1) M15 Sharm El Sheikh(02-20-19)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Lucas Gerch

M. Arnaldi vs L. Gerch H2H Profile

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Gerch
$2,492,840	Career Prize Money	$0
60.05% (236-157)	Career Total W/L	61.90% (320-197)
2	Hard	0
6	Titles	8
2	Total H2H Matches	0
46.34% (19-22)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)

M. Arnaldi vs L. Gerch Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.36% of points on their second serve, while Lucas Gerch has won 45.98%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 43.84% of their opponent's second serve points, while Lucas Gerch has won 44.47%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.40% and 30.16% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 58.55% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Lucas Gerch has saved 49.22% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.44% of matches played (W/L 20/25), with Lucas Gerch winning 60.87% (W/L 28/18) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/25). Lucas Gerch has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 229/123), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 54% (W/L 25/21).
Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 45.45% of matches (W/L 10/12), where as Lucas Gerch has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 60.61% of matches (W/L 20/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 times and Lucas Gerch being victorious 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 4 and Lucas Gerch winning 0.
The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lucas Gerch was at the M25 Portimao, 27-10-2021, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 7-6(3) 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:0.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 98.87 while Lucas Gerch has played against players with an average rank of 423.63.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Lucas Gerch has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.30% of breakpoint opportunities, and Lucas Gerch has converted 27.78% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Lucas Gerch Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs L. Gerch H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Gerch
2	H2H Matches Won	0
4	Sets Won	0
25	Games Won	13
1	Aces (Total)	6
3	Total Double Faults	8
1:28:0	Average Match Time	1:28:0
67% (83/123)	1st Serve %	64% (69/107)
61% (51/83)	1st Serve Win %	55% (38/69)
60% (24/40)	2nd Serve Win %	32% (12/38)
71% (10/14)	Break Pts Won %	36% (5/14)
53% (57/107)	Return Points Win %	39% (48/123)
100% (2/2)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai - 29-09-2025
R2 Alejandro Davidovich FokinaA. Davidovich	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Rei SakamotoR. Sakamoto	W	7-6(3) 6-4	Stats
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo - 22-09-2025
Q3 Marton FucsovicsM. Fucsovics	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Q1 Luca NardiL. Nardi	W	6-0 6-7(4) 6-3	Stats
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou - 15-09-2025
R1 Arthur CazauxA. Cazaux	L	6-4 3-6 7-5	Stats

View All

L. Gerch Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Villena Challenger - 29-09-2025
Q1 Adrian OetzbachA. Oetzbach	L	6-7(5) 6-3 6-4	Stats
M25 Falun - 22-09-2025
R1 Kristjan TammK. Tamm	L	6-4 3-6 6-4	Stats
M25 Lausanne - 01-09-2025
F Henry BernetH. Bernet	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
SF Ioannis XilasI. Xilas	W	6-2 6-3	Stats
QF Luca StaeheliL. Staeheli	W	6-4 6-4	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi vs L. Gerch Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Gerch
60.05% (236/157)	YTD Win/Loss	61.90% (320/197)
57.97% (553/401)	Sets Win/Loss	59.42% (694/474)
52.64% (4773/4295)	Games Win/Loss	54.19% (5874/4966)
60.71% (85/55)	Hard Win/Loss	54.95% (61/50)
65.35% (132/70)	Clay Win/Loss	65.06% (229/123)
36.59% (15/26)	Indoor Hard W/L	55.56% (30/24)
40.00% (4/6)	Grass Win/Loss	0% (0/0)
0.35	Aces Per Game	0.27
1574	Aces Total	1445
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.31
1104	Total Double Faults	1653
1:45:40	Average Match Time	1:23:56
227.18	Average Opponent Rank	480.74
59% (16203/27543)	1st Serve %	60% (16858/28192)
68% (11073/16203)	1st Serve Win %	69% (11669/16858)
50% (5690/11335)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (5478/11334)
43% (1146/2686)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (1380/3159)
40% (10732/26919)	Return Points Win %	42% (12180/28991)
56.25% (18/14)	Slam W/L	0% (0/0)
55.36% (31/25)	Masters W/L	0% (0/0)
80.00% (4/1)	Cups W/L	0% (0/0)
47.69% (31/34)	Main Tour W/L	0.00% (0/1)
59.84% (73/49)	Challenger W/L	53.64% (81/70)
70.27% (78/33)	Futures W/L	65.48% (239/126)
61% (220/361)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (311/506)
43% (12/28)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	67% (2/3)
57% (73/128)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	51% (63/123)
52% (68/132)	Deciding Set Win %	57% (80/141)
83% (238/197)	1st Set Won, Won Match	91% (296/269)
17% (238/41)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	9% (296/26)
24% (154/37)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (221/49)